As a result, the mullah’s regime activities outside of Iran are diminishing and their communication has been disrupted. The question now is whether the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps will use the malaise to launch a putsch, or will Iranians again take to the streets … or both? Ali Rajab . One year after the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, the number one man in promoting the Iranian regime's terrorist policies in the region, the assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, the father of Iranian nuclear activities, took place, virtually without retaliation. As the parade of stricken facilities mounted and diversified, the serial nature of the events combined with the regime’s fallen credibility certainly stimulated unflattering popular explanations. The government arrested some people for unspecified reasons and changed its explanation several times. 4:44 PM May 16, 2020. Iran’s economy is in a tailspin, which is what triggered the protests. Recent days have been some of the worst the Iranian regime has suffered, including a series of explosions and fires on an almost daily basis in sensitive military facilities, critical infrastructure or unspecified installations. Early on July 7, a powerful explosion engulfed a warehouse or factory of unknown use in Beqarshahr south of Tehran. It’s the Iranian regime itself that has done the most to contribute to the rapid spread of COVID-19 both in Iran and, more recently, from Iran to other parts of the world—including the United States. Meanwhile, the MEK became known as … Due to the regime’s institutionalized corruption and wrong economic policies, the inflation rate is rising, affecting prices of people’s basic needs. Dr. David Wurmser is Director of the Center for Security Policy’s Project on Global Anti-Semitism and the US-Israel Relationship. Experts Discuss Iranian Regime Fall Scenario The regime in Tehran is weak, vulnerable, and should be targeted. Iranians have witnessed many attempts of “Regime Change” across the Middle East, None of which turned out the way it was planned to. The Iranian regime has all but admitted this major setback to its enrichment program. Russia clearly cut Iran down to size in its attempt to lord over Syria. Meanwhile Iran’s currency is in free fall. And abroad, its designs to consolidate Syria into a playground of Iranian mercantile … It cannot afford to be as openly repressive and bloodthirsty as the Chinese at Tienanmen Square. The Iranian people are getting slaughtered, imprisoned and tortured by the Iranian regime, with no end in sight. When a regime like Iran that traffics in ruthless power to survive faces such a string of humiliating displays of incompetence and impotence, it raises serious questions over its longevity. The revamped conservative regime in Iran is likely to be even more aggressive in enabling its allies. As a result, they are less likely to wage terror attacks outside their borders or to support terror groups. This site, like many others, uses small files called cookies to help us improve and customize your experience. Iran is headed for a drought of biblical proportions, according to him, one that is already underway if you look at rural migration patterns. The same night, a major complex of unknown use exploded and burned in Shiraz. Demonstrations are spreading in major cities. In October 2018, the Iranian regime sent another senior MOIS agent to assassinate an opposition figure in Denmark. Iran’s Regime Is Falling Apart. Trump intends to make the Islamic regime fall on its own via crippling sanctions. An analysis of the November 2019 Iranian revolt reveals vital truths about the Islamic Republic's inability to suppress popular demand for regime change. In short, Iran was afflicted by the explosion of two admitted military targets (the Khojir missile and Natanz enrichment facilities), two power plants (Shiraz and Ahvaz), one petrochemical factory (Karoun), and three mysterious fires in Shiraz, Baqershahr, and the Tajrish Square area of Tehran. How the mighty Iranian regime is falling fast By: Hassan.Mahmoudi One year after the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, the number one man in promoting the Iranian regime’s terrorist policies in the region, the assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, the father of Iranian nuclear activities, took place, virtually without retaliation. Perhaps this is why recent political discourse, such as the one last weekend in which Foreign Minister Javad Zarif was lambasted, has turned so acrimonious. Despite his critics, President Trump is serious in his efforts to squeeze Iran's economy as much and as fast as possible. This road leads to the regime’s inevitable fall and the ultimate victory for the people of Iran. For example, the video released of the latest event in Baqershahr described a minor explosion in a factory in a mundane industry. But Iran’s humanitarian tragedy has very little to do with U.S. policy. And with good reason: The videos released by the government often contain information disproving its narrative. British Typhoons blast terrorist bunker hideouts, Hypersonic gap: US spending $15bn to match rivals, German subs using Russian nav systems: report, Duterte tugs the dragon’s tail with fighter planes, Navy’s unmanned push hits rough seas in Congress, Brazil reels after military leaders resign en masse, Proudly powered by Newspack by Automattic. Demonstrations are spreading in major cities. Social media in Iran posted unverified videos of bank runs. Current sanctions on Iran are crippling, but there is no sign that the regime is on the verge of cracking. Ayatollah Khamenei. The systematic cover-up, deceit, and inaction by Iran’s regime in recent weeks have already cost at least 5500 lives. Taken together, this collection represents two sorts of misfortunes: one afflicting strategic military programs and the other the regime’s stability. The Iranian government should respect their people’s rights, including their right to express themselves.” For the people of Iran, with help from Donald Trump, this could just possibly be the dawning of a new era of freedom. Recent days have been some of the worst the Iranian regime has suffered, including a series of explosions and fires on an almost daily basis in sensitive military facilities, critical infrastructure or unspecified installations. Learn more about how we use cookies in our cookie policy. Originally published as an Asia Times exclusive. Trump intends to make the Islamic regime fall on its own via crippling sanctions. Key point: The collapse of Iran would be catastrophic for regional security. Dr. David Wurmser is Director of the Center for Security Policy’s Project on Global Anti-Semitism and the US-Israel Relationship.He is a former U.S. Navy Reserve intelligence officer with extensive national security experience working for the State Department, the Pentagon, Vice President Dick Cheney and the National Security Council. That number is a lot higher in the black market. On June 26, a building in the solid-fuel assembly plant of the Khojir missile facility, which also has deal with nuclear-warhead designs, exploded with such force that it was seen 70 kilometers away. A review of the events unveils the collective enormity of what has happened. Throughout the entire span of these events, demonstrations by workers unpaid for three months by both government and private entities have plagued the city of Ahvaz and Shush, and even paralyzed its transportation and rail centers. On July 2, an explosion, responsibility for which was claimed by an unknown opposition group, the Homeland Panthers, ripped apart the new centrifuge assembly building in the Natanz nuclear center. In June 2019, when asked if the U.S. and Israel would have to intervene militarily in Iran, Reza Pahlavi went as far as saying, “if the proper pressure does not exist at this time to force this regime to collapse, then of course it would become unavoidable to consider other options.” All of this is to say that the narrative they espouse fits their own political objectives. He, too, awaits trial on terrorism charges. And abroad, its designs to consolidate Syria into a playground of Iranian mercantile interests and a foundation for projecting power directly against Israel have encountered not only expected Israeli, but also Russian pushback. Not, we can hope, … Beijing ups the ante in the South China Sea, The odd couple: Vietnam, Laos get new leaders. The same night, another large fire destroyed an unknown facility in Salmas near Tehran. It evinces weakness. Twitter. That tension has simmered for a year as Iran attempted to outmaneuver Russia as the mentor of key security officials and apparatus, as the controller of strategy, and as the mercantile benefactor of reconstruction. Why are Myanmar 'realists' desperate for compromise? In doing so, Obama lifted the siege on Iran and provided its regime, which was very close to falling, with a $100 billion lifeline. For example, the video released of the latest event in Baqershahr described a minor explosion in a factory in a mundane industry. And yet a fleeting image of an official captured by the video revealed a rank insignia of a brigadier-general – hardly the level of an officer normally interested in such a small event at an insignificant facility. On July 4, a fire and explosion in southwest, predominantly Sunni Arab province of Ahvaz destroyed the power plant and further south, at about the same time, the Karoun Petrochemical plant failed and released what was claimed to be chlorine gas, sending about six dozen to hospital. Wednesday, Mar 24, 2021. The Iranian regime's suppression, torture and execution of political prisoners and those who protest against the theocratic establishment have reached an unprecedented level. On July 2, an explosion, responsibility for which was claimed by an unknown opposition group, the Homeland Panthers, ripped apart the new centrifuge assembly building in the Natanz nuclear center. Demonstrations are spreading in major cities. Perhaps this is why recent political discourse, such as the one last weekend in which Foreign Minister Javad Zarif was lambasted, has turned so acrimonious. This is the same general area in which the Israelis two years ago seized Iran’s nuclear archives, namely Turouzabad-Kharizak, and in which Israel and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) suspect also was a major nuclear warehouse. Iran’s regime is battered and appears penetrated, impotent, and vulnerable to popular disdain, which often leads to eruption. As a result, while we will not rush to judge it as the “ineffectiveness of the Iranian regime” quite yet, certainly the course of developments in the Middle East has changed. All this spells doom for the Republic of Virtue. Iranians are swarming for U.S. dollars as Iran’s currency, the rial, plunges to historic lows amid economic and political uncertainty. The question now is whether the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps will use the malaise to launch a putsch, or will Iranians again take to the streets … or both? Not only has Israel struck several times recently at Iranian forces deploying near its borders in Syria, but Russia has in the last several days occupied the main corridor in eastern Syria through which all Iranian ground transport via Iraq passes. This is the same general area in which the Israelis two years ago seized Iran’s nuclear archives, namely Turouzabad-Kharizak, and in which Israel and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) suspect also was a major nuclear warehouse. Ultimately, however, Iranians do not really care who did what. Despite his critics, President Trump is serious in his efforts to squeeze Iran’s economy as much and as fast as possible. Facebook. Two cities are beset by demonstrations (Ahvaz and Shush), the currency is collapsing, there may be a run on the banks, and demonstrators are blocking transportation hubs. They cannot … It evinces weakness. He is a former U.S. Navy Reserve intelligence officer with extensive national security experience working for the State Department, the Pentagon, Vice President Dick Cheney and the National Security Council. Even its suppressive security forces, like the Basij and the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), are trying to distance themselves from the regime, at a time when the regime has also lost much control in Iraq. Based on the numbers that the government just published last year, by 2013, when Rohani … Throughout the entire span of these events, demonstrations by workers unpaid for three months by both government and private entities have plagued the city of Ahvaz and Shush, and even paralyzed its transportation and rail centers. The ayatollah-led regime will soon fall, says Iran’s exiled crown prince Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of the last Shah of Iran, believes that the majority of the Iranian people see the Islamic Republic’s track record in the global theater as a failure, and would be … On July 4, a fire and explosion in southwest, predominantly Sunni Arab province of Ahvaz destroyed the power plant and further south, at about the same time, the Karoun Petrochemical plant failed and released what was claimed to be chlorine gas, sending about six dozen to hospital. By. August 3, 2018. News US' John Bolton calls for fall of Iranian regime in DW interview. Iran’s regime is battered and appears penetrated, impotent, and vulnerable to popular disdain, which often leads to eruption. by Nawal Sayed. Even if the regime remains in power this time, it has been shaken to its core. Iran's Regime Is Falling Apart. On July 3, another enormous fire erupted in the northwest part of Shiraz in an unknown location and facility. And continuing regime mismanagement is making it worse: I believe that Iran is going to face a dire situation in the next few years and it’s not going to be sustainable. Ultimately, however, Iranians do not really care who did what. Also in 2018, two Iranian … When America’s cyberwarfare capabilities are used against us, From Elections to Electrons – Cybersecurity Threats to America’s Infrastructure, Copyright © 1988-2021 Center for Security Policy | All Rights Reserved, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Qatar and L’affair Khashoggi: Part 1. Two cities are beset by demonstrations (Ahvaz and Shush), the currency is collapsing, there may be a run on the banks, and demonstrators are blocking transportation hubs. Recent days have been some of the worst the Iranian regime has suffered, including a series of explosions and fires on an almost daily basis in sensitive military facilities, critical infrastructure or unspecified installations. Signs Iran’s regime is facing collapse. And abroad, its designs to consolidate Syria into a playground of Iranian mercantile interests and a foundation for projecting power directly against Israel have encountered not only expected Israeli, but also Russian pushback. Covering geo-political news and current affairs across Asia. On June 26, a building in the solid-fuel assembly plant of the Khojir missile facility, which also has deal with nuclear-warhead designs, exploded with such force that it was seen 70 kilometers away. It has suffered a catastrophic fate. Most Lebanese people hate Hezbollah’s domination and the Iranian regime that funds it. Also, by the end of last week, Iran’s currency had sharply fallen, dropping from about 200,000 rials to the dollar on Friday to 264,000 by Monday. The government arrested some people for unspecified reasons and changed its explanation several times. The pervasiveness of corruption and incompetence led Iranians to expect an assembly line of disasters. Early on July 7, a powerful explosion engulfed a warehouse or factory of unknown use in Beqarshahr south of Tehran. This Iranian Regime Will Fall Mohsen Kadivar , Der Spiegel December 26, 2009 In a SPIEGEL interview, Iranian Ayatollah Mohsen Kadivar, currently a visiting research professor at America's Duke University, discusses the recent death of opposition leader Hossein Ali Montazeri, the frustrations Iranians have with their regime and the future of the green movement and the prospect of an escalation. And with good reason: The videos released by the government often contain information disproving its narrative. What matters is that their government, which deters internal opposition by an image of ruthlessness, is flailing and incapable of finding either a proper response or effective prevention. The balance of power and rules of engagement for the Iranian regime have shifted and there is no return! The same night, a major complex of unknown use exploded and burned in Shiraz. Trump intends to make the Islamic regime fall on its own via crippling sanctions. Taken together, this collection represents two sorts of misfortunes: one afflicting strategic military programs and the other the regime’s stability. Meanwhile Iran’s currency is in free fall. What matters is that their government, which deters internal opposition by an image of ruthlessness, is flailing and incapable of finding either a proper response or effective prevention. In short, Iran was afflicted by the explosion of two admitted military targets (the Khojir missile and Natanz enrichment facilities), two power plants (Shiraz and Ahvaz), one petrochemical factory (Karoun), and three mysterious fires in Shiraz, Baqershahr, and the Tajrish Square area of Tehran. Iranians are numbed to catastrophe as the norm and to coverup as a given. And yet a fleeting image of an official captured by the video revealed a rank insignia of a brigadier-general – hardly the level of an officer normally interested in such a small event at an insignificant facility. While the Iranian regime has been killing Americans during the coronavirus crisis and planning to kill more, President Trump's plan to block the mullahs' request for … “We are now witnessing skyrocketing process. The US-led sanctions against the Iranian regime are increasing. As chip tech moves ahead, is China falling behind? In August, Iran's Central Bank reported that inflation would hit 60% this year, whi. Pinterest . As the parade of stricken facilities mounted and diversified, the serial nature of the events combined with the regime’s fallen credibility certainly stimulated unflattering popular explanations. Iranian people are facing skyrocketing prices and are unable to make their ends meet. There are only six weeks to go until the second round of US sanctions hits Iran, but already the Iranian economy is spiralling and global economic experts believe that the current Regime will likely fall and soon. More by David Wurmser. While exiled activists have routinely predicted the fall of the regime, Pahlavi said that Iranians could “smell the opportunity for the first time in 40 years this time”. The rial has lost one third of its value this year alone and is now officially 60,000 to the dollar. View all posts by David Wurmser →. By Amil Imani. On June 30, an explosion, fire and then hefty secondary explosions ripped through the sub-basement levels of a medical center in northern Tehran. When a regime like Iran that traffics in ruthless power to survive faces such a string of humiliating displays of incompetence and impotence, it raises serious questions over its longevity. Iranians are numbed to catastrophe as the norm and to coverup as a given. To add insult to injury, the regime has also been humiliated abroad. That tension has simmered for a year as Iran attempted to outmaneuver Russia as the mentor of key security officials and apparatus, as the controller of strategy, and as the mercantile benefactor of reconstruction. A review of the events unveils the collective enormity of what has happened. Iranians are swarming for U.S. dollars as Iran’s currency, the rial, plunges to historic lows amid economic and political uncertainty. Not only has Israel struck several times recently at Iranian forces deploying near its borders in Syria, but Russia has in the last several days occupied the main corridor in eastern Syria through which all Iranian ground transport via Iraq passes. Russia clearly cut Iran down to size in its attempt to lord over Syria. Iranian currency, the rial has lost one-third of its value this year alone and is now 60,000 to the dollar. 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The … On June 30, an explosion, fire and then hefty secondary explosions ripped through the sub-basement levels of a medical center in northern Tehran. Recent days have been some of the worst the Iranian regime has suffered, including a series of explosions and fires on an almost daily basis in sensitive military facilities, critical infrastructure or unspecified installations. (After Saddam's fall, many experts have speculated that Saudi Arabia, Iran's arch rival, took over funding for the group.) by Michael Rubin. He is a former US Navy Reserve intelligence officer with extensive national security experience working for the US State Department, the Pentagon, former vice-president Dick Cheney and the National Security Council. At the same time, an explosion and fire destroyed the power plant servicing the southwestern city of Shiraz, plunging it into darkness. David Wurmser is director of the Center for Security Policy’s Project on Global Anti-Semitism and the US-Israel Relationship. Meanwhile Iran’s currency is in free fall. The same night, another large fire destroyed an unknown facility in Salmas near Tehran. To add insult to injury, the regime has also been humiliated abroad. on: November 07, 2018. The pervasiveness of corruption and incompetence led Iranians to expect an assembly line of disasters. Iranian Opposition; Iran Regime Will Fall Soon. Iran and the United States are as close to direct conflict as … Social media in Iran posted unverified videos of bank runs. The Iranian regime has all but admitted this major setback to its enrichment program. Report: U.S. Former Trump adviser John Bolton has criticized the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran, saying it was based on a "flat-out lie." Meanwhile Iran’s currency is in free fall. On July 3, another enormous fire erupted in the northwest part of Shiraz in an unknown location and facility. At the same time, an explosion and fire destroyed the power plant servicing the southwestern city of Shiraz, plunging it into darkness. Mostafa Aslani - 5th February 2020.